Causal Stories

Story 42

Billy and Suzy are freight train conductors. One day, they happen to approach an old two-way rail bridge from opposite directions at the same time. There are signals on either side of the bridge. Billy's signal is red, so he is supposed to stop and wait. Suzy's signal is green, so she is supposed to drive across immediately. Neither of them realizes that the bridge is on the verge of collapse. If either of them drives their train onto the bridge, it will collapse. Either train is heavy enough on its own to break the bridge. Billy decides to ignore his signal and drives his train onto the bridge immediately at the same time that Suzy follows her signal and drives her train onto the bridge. Both trains move onto the bridge at the same time, and at that moment the bridge collapses.

Question

Did Billy cause the bridge to collapse?

Majority Answer: Yes

Answer distribution over 25 people:

P(Yes): 0.52 P(No): 0.48

Is Ambiguous: True

Factor

These are the factors and their attributes present in this story.

Action Omission: Action

Agent Awareness: Unaware

Causal Structure: Disjunctive

Event Normality: Abnormal

Norm Type: Prescriptive Norm

Time: Same Time Cause