Causal Stories

Story 31

Laurie likes GC brand coffee. GC is doing a new promotion for their new coffee flavor where customers can receive a free sample. Customers will receive a free sample if either they have previously purchased coffee beans from GC or they are subscribed to the GC email list. Laurie has previously purchased coffee beans from GC, and she is not subscribed to the GC email list. When she hears about the promotion, Laurie checks to see if she is subscribed to the email list, and she sees that she is not. So, she changes her subscription status, and she subscribes to the email list. Because customers will receive a free sample if either they have previously purchased coffee beans from GC or they are subscribed to the GC email list, Laurie receives a free sample.

Question

Did Laurie receive a free sample because she changed her subscription status?

Majority Answer: No

Answer distribution over 25 people:

P(Yes): 0.32 P(No): 0.68

Is Ambiguous: False

Factor

These are the factors and their attributes present in this story.

Action Omission: Action

Agent Awareness: Aware

Causal Structure: Disjunctive